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Buckle in folks. The story of this golfer over the past two and a half years is amazing. Let’s go. Welcome to the cut maker golf podcast, your home for in depth reviews of PGA players that will help you make more informed daily fantasy plays and golf wagers four days a week. We provide five to seven minutes on a different PGA tour player from the most famous to some that you’ve never heard of. Each Wednesday. We will highlight the tournament of the week and give out one of our plays for that tournament. Don’t want to spend a ton of time doing golf research. We’re still here to help text Gulf to eight five five golf pod. That’s techs golf two (855) 465-3763 for $25 a weekend. The price of a large pizza, double vodka, red bull or whatever you’re into. You’ll receive our top three fantasy golf plays, picks to win the tournament that week and tournament head, the head wagers that we like.
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there was a stretch of time from 2014 through 2017 where Jordan Speith was the it golfer in the world. He was a 20 year old phenom. The next tiger after winning the 2015 Valspar, he went on to finish second, second first at the masters. No less 11th mr. cut at the players. Second 30th third one. The U S open won the John Deere took fourth in the open championship, 10th at the Bridgestone and second at the PGA. He wrapped up that phenomenal 2015 winning the tour championship and started out 2016 by winning the tournament of champions 2017 saw him win the at and T Pro-Am, the Traveler’s Amie open championship along with a handful of second place finishes. Yet he has a one on the PGA tour since 2017 so I guess the question is what happened? Jordan Speith is 26 and lives in a town where he was born and raised Dallas.
He played at the university of Texas and along with tiger woods is the only two time winner of the U S junior amateur. He’s been on tour for seven years and has 14 professional wins. 11 on the PGA tour, including three majors, a masters, a U S open, and an open championship. He’s ranked 56th and the official world golf rankings just ahead of Viktor Hovland, which likely won’t be the case much longer and behind several players, most fans have never heard of nor could pronounce. Let’s take a look at Spieth’s games. Statistically, Speith is an elite putter when he has it going. He’s arguably the best putter in the world. He’s third on tour in the last 50 rounds and second on tour in the last 100 rounds with the flats deck. He traditionally has been able to have his putter bail him out, ranking 25th and Birdie’s gained over the past 100 rounds due largely to great putting, but even that status falling off quickly with Spaeth ranking a hundred and 60th and Verdi’s gained in his last 24 rounds.
He’s a hundred and 20th or worse in the range from the last 40 to 50 rounds in bogey avoidance. The struggle is real. So what has led to his rapid decline? His good drive percentage, which is calculated by number of fairways hit plus the number of greens and regulation. When the drive missed the fairway was 36 then 2017 it improved a 32nd in 2018 and then fell off a cliff going to 180 third and 2019 and 226 so far in 2020 he’s 219th and strokes gained ball striking and his last 100 rounds and 223rd and strokes gained off the tee and that same time frame yet he is second and strokes game, putting in that same timeframe. Imagine where he would be if he couldn’t putt. So the question is where do you want to play Jordan? Speith nowhere, not for the foreseeable future anyway.
Sure. He mustered a 21st at last year’s masters and showed some signs of life with a third at last year’s PGA. His tee to green game came to life at the ATNT Pro-Am where he gained 7.8 strokes tee to green only to lose two strokes to tee tee to green to the Genesis and 12.3 strokes tee to green at the WGC Mexico. His talent is undeniable, but until I see something that I can call some sort of consistent form, I will be bidding against beef at every single opportunity. From a wagering and daily fantasy perspective, his odds to win the masters are still artificially inflated at 28 to one or so. No, thank you. However, I do believe if you must bet on him in a major that’s the one you want to play him. His price from a DFS perspective is generally now in the mid seven to eight K range in the players he’s priced around Benayoun, Viktor Hovland, Jocko, Neiman Mark, Leishman and Billy Horschel. I wouldn’t even come close to considering playing beef over any of those guys. Spiess plenty young enough to get his game back on track, but it’s not near where it needs to be at this point. Thanks for listening to the cut maker podcast where we’d give you the daily information you need to make more informed DFS and wagering decisions on the PGA. Check us out on cut maker pod.com and we’ll talk with you tomorrow.